Basics of Trendline
What makes this article different than others?
This isn't a standalone
article but rather is a part of series of articles which I have written about Trendlines.
I wouldn’t be mistaken if I say that Trendlines are the most used trading tool in
technical analysis and how much you know about these trendlines alone can
define how you perform as a Trader. A topic of this importance, and yet most
authors try to explain this gem in a single article and by just explaining the
basics.
This article is about basics so if you have already been in the market and have an idea how a trendline looks and performs, you can jump right to the next article in the series where I have defined the Essential features of Trendline. The link is at the bottom of the article. So, let’s now get going.
This article is about basics so if you have already been in the market and have an idea how a trendline looks and performs, you can jump right to the next article in the series where I have defined the Essential features of Trendline. The link is at the bottom of the article. So, let’s now get going.
Before we understand trendlines,
we need to understand 'Swing Highs' and 'Swing Lows' or 'Peaks' and 'Valleys', as they
are otherwise known. Price doesn’t move in a straight line in any direction. It
moves in the form of Waves, and in that process, the price makes these highs and
lows. See the chart below:
Every trader must know
the importance of these highs and lows well, as they are the fundamental of
price analysis. Price highs and lows convey much more than a new trader initially
thinks they do.
When price makes consecutive
‘Higher Highs’ and ‘Higher Lows’, the price is said to be in an uptrend. On the
other hand, when the price showcases consecutive ‘Lower Highs’ and ‘Lower Lows’,
the price is said to be in a downtrend. See the chart above.
What is Trendline?
In
an up-trending market, many a time, the consecutive valleys follow an imaginary path i.e. trendline. To
explain a bit further, if you can connect 3 or more than 3 valleys with a single line in an up-trending market, it is said to be a trendline.
Look at the chart below:
In the chart given above, the
price is in Up-Trend, defined by Higher Peaks and Higher Valleys. Observe how
the valleys are connected with a single line. The line here connects more than
3 valleys and hence is a valid trendline.
So now you understand
what trendline looks like in an uptrend. Let’s go further and see how a
trendline looks like in a downtrend.
In a downtrend, instead
of connecting consecutive valleys, we try to connect 3 different ‘Peaks’ with a
same line to form a valid trendline. Let’s look at the chart below for reference:
Now you know that a
trendline sits at the price bottom in an Uptrend and sits at the top in a
Downtrend. Trendlines play the role of the most important tool in technical
analysis, as you will go further, you will find out the trendlines are the basics
of all the chart patterns that a trader makes to predict the Probable move of
the market.
How do you trade a
trendline?
There are actually 2 ways
to trade a trendline. One is ‘Trend-Following’ and another is ‘Trading the
Breakout’.
The first method
is fairly simple, once you have identified a trendline, i.e. a line with at
least 3 price touches, you wait for the price to move back again to trendline
for the 4th time, and when it does, you take the trade. When the
price is in an uptrend and makes the 4th valley which touches the
trendline, you GO LONG, and when the price is in a downtrend and it makes the 4th
Peak that touches the trendline, you GO SHORT.
Let’s look at the chart 1
again.
In the chart given above,
when the price comes to the trendline for the fourth time, we GO LONG and ride
some tasty gains. It happens the same with Downward facing Trendlines to. We GO
SHORT when the price reaches the trendline in the downtrend.
The second method is
when the price stops following the trendline, i.e. the price retraces back to
trendline again, but it doesn’t stop at the trendline and reverse, rather it pierces
the trendline and start going to the other side.
In the chart given below, the
price was trending downward and comes to the trendline for the sixth time, but
rather than stopping and reversing from the trendline, it pierces the trendline
and starts going upward. In this case, when the price breaks above a downward-facing
trendline, you GO LONG, i.e. you buy the stock. With my risk percentage, I made
9% on this trade.
Let’s look at another trade
I took:
Here the price was in an
uptrend and we have a valid trendline. The price comes near the trendline for
the 4th touch and instead of stopping and reversing from the
trendline, it pierces below the trendline and starts going further down. In
this case, when the price breaks below an upward-facing trendline, we GO SHORT,
i.e. you sell the stock. This trade was sweet 5%.
For a quick recap:
- In an uptrend, the trendline is made by connecting the valleys and in a downtrend, the trendline is made by connecting the peaks.
- A valid trendline should have at least two touch points.
- There are two ways to trade the trendline; Trend Following, Trading the Breakout.
Now that you have
understood what a trendline looks like and how to make it, open a chart and
start practicing the trendline. Start by joining different peaks and valleys in
downtrend and uptrend respectively. The chances are you are going to find many if you look even half-heartedly.
So, this was about the ‘Basics
of Trendline’ but there is more to it. Refining the trendline, examining different
trendlines, and understanding which trendline has better chances of working
in your favor and which doesn’t, takes more than just basics.
Next article: Trendlines
(Advanced) is coming soon.






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ReplyDeleteHi Sagar,
ReplyDeleteThis indeed a very informative post. And if we talk about content, that is also highly engaging and compelling that will definitely solve people's problems.
Thanks for sharing.
Thank You so much. Means a lot
Delete